by Nick Ercolano
October 09, 2019
Trade for these guys in fantasy football now or finish 0-14. Even if you already have wins.
I will continue to tell you to sell Lindsay at every point you can. Game logs so far: 8.5, 8.5, 27, 6.5, 22.5. It’s exactly the same reasoning I gave to sell him two weeks ago after his 27 point game, he followed with the 6 point game. We know the talent is there, so these sporadic big games are coming, but he’s not breaking away from this timeshare at all. Royce Freeman actually out-snapped Lindsay 33-28 on Sunday, and he did 34-25 the Sunday before that. Over that same span, Freeman has out-targeted Lindsay 8-5 and out-caught him 6-5, while running 20 routes to Lindsay’s 14.
Lindsay’s two big games have come against the Packers and Chargers, who are ranked 31st and 30th in run defense per PFF - only the Chiefs rank worse. They both rank poorly per FootballOutsiders too, for those skeptical about PFF’s rankings.
Royce Freeman is yet to score a touchdown in 2019, he actually leads the entire NFL in terms of touches without scoring a TD - 71. That’s hard to do. And he’s du to find the endzone eventually.
Again, this isn’t an endorsement for Freeman, it’s one against Lindsay’s consistency. He’s a guy that will keep giving you sell-high opps, and you should take one.
First game back, Williams absolutely dominates the backfield work, seeing 34 snaps to Shady’s 14. Carrying the ball 9 times, catching 3-of-4 targets, while Shady didnt’ get a single carry, and was out-targeted 4-2. Williams is back, and it’s his backfield again. He did almost nothing with his touches, gaining just 38 yards on the 12 touches, but that’s what makes him such a good buy-low candidate. People waiting for Williams to get back will see like 4 points and probably be like fuck.
Williams has had almost 0 success on the ground this year, but i really dont care, considering Patrick Mahomes is dropping back on nearly 68.5% of the Chiefs plays. Williams ran 21 routes on MNF compared to just 10 for Shady. It was nothing to do with Shady’s ankle either, Andy Reid came out and said it had to do with pass-blocking, and he’ll clean that up. Not sure how you clean up your pass-blocking after being in the league for 17 years, but i think it’s clear to me that Andy Reid prefers Damien Williams to McCoy, running, in passing situations and moving forward. Even Darrel Williams out-snapped Shady in this one, although Darrel didn’t see a single touch. It’s good because we know for sure this is at worst a 2-man committee.
Brown has been quietly good this year, as long as you're playing in some sort of PPR league. If you're playing full PPR, his worst game was 4-51, 9.5 points. In his five games he's gone
He just can't find the endzone. But all signs point to a post-bye explosion for Ross. He's currently 7th in the NFL in air yards with a 34% air yard market share on the Bills, quietly 11th in the NFL in receiving yards overall (390), on pace for 1,250 receiving yards, with an overall 22% target share. He's their WR1, unquestioned in terms of value to the team.
Brown ranks top-10 in the NFL in deep targets, while Allen is top-10 in terms of % of his throws as deep balls.
But, their schedule gets magical after the bye:
by Noah Pires
October 17, 2019
by Nick Ercolano
October 16, 2019
by Noah Pires
October 12, 2019