Week 11 - Injury Watch

by Noah Pires November 17, 2018

Week 11 - Injury Watch

Y'all know the drill, another week, more injuries. We've got some hefty ones today, including Marv Jones, A.J. Green, and even uncertainty at the QB position for the Ravens. If you're interested in seeing who's impacted by these injuries, as well as waiver replacements and deep league stashes, put your seatbelt on for the wild ride that is the "Week 11 Injury Watch".

QUARTERBACK

OUT
JOE FLACCO - BALTIMORE RAVENS
Prior to the bye, we heard news that Joe Flacco was dealing with hip issues that could impact his availability in upcoming weeks. Now, it's looking less and less likely that he's going to suit up come Sunday against the Bengals, which opens up the door for either Lamar Jackson or RGIII. Either way, both of these quarterbacks are some of the most mobile at their position in the league, which I think will be to Alex Collins' benefit. When Griffin was playing QB for the Skins, Alfred Morris was a 1,600 yard rusher. Obviously, RGIII is past his prime, but he's still infinitely faster than Flacco, and his legs will still be a threat. Running read options will keep linebackers on their toes, possibly opening up holes/opportunities for Collins to get into the open field. Also, playing Cincy, who have given up 85+ yards on the ground to a runningback (Peyton Barber even went for 85) in each of their last 4 games and 6 total rushing scores over that span, Collins should eat. If there's a spot for Collins to blow up, it's here, especially with the QB change. As for the receivers, it's hard to tell how they will be impacted by Flacco's absence. Both Snead and Crabtree run "safer" routes, while John Brown stretches the field, so if you're looking for a floor play, I'd prefer Crab/Willie. However, when RGIII was slinging that thing, he had one of the better deep balls in the NFL, so he and JB could toast Cincy. As for Jackson, he isn't known for going deep as often as Griff, but with his legs, he can certainly extend plays, and with Brown's speed, he'll get open. In this spot, all three receivers are startable, but if I had to choose my favorite play, it would be Brown, as he has top 15 upside in this spot.
As for Jackson/Griffin's value if Flacco sits, I think whoever draws the start is a near QB1 play. Obviously, Cincy can get torn up through the air, but both of these guys provide so much rushing upside that if they only throw for one touchdown, they can easily put up 80 rushing yards, which is equivalent to two passing scores in most leagues. I'm not going out of my way to throw a guy like Deshaun Watson or Wentz on my bench, but there are plenty of options I'd be willing to have ride the pine in favor of Jackson or RGIII, depending on who draws the start.
BANGED UP
PATRICK MAHOMES - KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
This might be #FAKENEWS. He popped up on the injury report with a foot injury, but it doesn't look to be serious whatsoever. This game has the highest over under in years, currently set at 63, meaning points will be scored. Mahomes is the QB1 overall this week, whether or not he stubbed his toe at practice.
WAIVER WIRE REPLACEMENTS
DAK PRESCOTT - DALLAS COWBOYS
MATCHUP: @ ATLANTA FALCONS
Dak has been great recently, totaling 2 or more all-purpose (rushing and passing) touchdowns over each of his last 4 games. What's even more promising is that over that span, he faced the Eagles, Titans, Redskins, and Jaguars, all of which rank inside the top 10 for least points allowed. This week, he heads into the dome, facing the Falcons, allowing the 29th most points in the league, at 28.2. For fantasy purposes, you need to play quarterbacks against them, as the only quarterbacks that HAVEN'T thrown for 3 or more scores against them are Alex Smith, Eli Manning, and Nick Foles. It might scare you that they have shut down every NFC East QB they've faced, but get real, all of these guys are bums. Prescott has looked much improved recently, so I'm confident rolling him out there as a back-end QB1.
MARCUS MARIOTA - DALLAS COWBOYS
MATCHUP: @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
I'm not a huge fan of Mariota for fantasy, but it's hard to deny he's been a valuable asset recently. He's totaled 5 touchdowns over the past 2 weeks, and against the Colts, he'll be looking to keep that train chuggin. Indy has allowed 2 or more passing scores to everyone except Derek Anderson, Carson Wentz (his first game back), and Alex Smith (shocker...), and gave up 3 to Derek Carr, and 2 to both Bortles and Darnold. Indy can score with the best of them, and even with Tennessee's elite defense, I think the Titans will be playing from behind. If MM throws more than 30 times, which every team, outside of the Raiders and Bengals, have, he should provide high-end QB2 value.
DEEP STASHES
JAMEIS WINSTON - TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Nobody's holding onto Winston, and for good reason, but we all know Fitzpatrick is capable of losing his job at any point. If and when this happens, Winston will have a chance to get teams like the 49ers, Panthers, and Saints. The Bucs love to throw, so whoever is behind center will be a viable play in good spots, so if you have the space, I'd stash Winston, no matter how shitty he is in real life.
LAMAR JACKSON/ROBERT GRIFFIN III - BALTIMORE RAVENS
I already kind of touched on these guys in Flacco's section, but either of these guys could be a low-end QB1 going forward if Elite Joey's hip doesn't get any better.

The rankings on the right are points allowed per game to the position, and as you can see, none of them are above league average. The Ravens' toughest matchup is week 16 against the Chargers, but even then, they are by no means lockdown. If these guys are available, scoop them up. Of the two, I'd prefer Jackson, as he's actually been on the field this year and probably has more upside.

RUNNINGBACK

OUT
CHRIS THOMPSON - WASHINGTON REDSKINS
We already saw what this offense does without Thompson, and to be honest, it's one of the most disgusting things I've ever seen, and that isn't hyperbole. Does anybody get upgraded with this injury? No chance. The Texans are going to be in the backfield all day long with their entire o-line in hospice. Let's just all agree to stay away from the Skins' offense, okay?
BANGED UP
JOE MIXON - CINCINNATI BENGALS
Mixon went down with a knee injury earlier this year, and now, it looks like the issue is popping back up. He was a full go Friday, so he'll likely get his full workload, but I'm not sure how excited I am about that. He's playing a defense that's only allowed 3 rushing scores all season and only one runningback, James Conner, has totaled 100+ YFS against them. The Bengals' offense was awful last week in a plus matchup, so in this spot, I honestly wouldn't be too confident rolling Mixon out there. He's a back-end RB2 for me, but that shouldn't concern you, since going forward, he gets a great schedule, and once Green returns, this offense should move the ball a bit better, making him a quality RB1.
PEYTON BARBER - TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Barber was taken off the final injury report, and Ronald Jones is already out for week 11. I didn't put him in the "out" section since he provides no value whatsoever. As for Barber, he had looked to be the clearcut #1, but last week, Jacquizz Rodgers totaled 8 receptions for 102 yards. He's obviously superior in the passing game, and with Barber not doing anything on the ground, they might make this more of a split just to see what they have in the backfield. Either way, Tampa only runs about 24 times a game, which ranks 23rd in the league. I'm not comfortable starting either, no matter how desperate I am for a runningback.
ADRIAN PETERSON - WASHINGTON REDSKINS
As I said before in the Thompson section, I don't want a part of this team AT ALL. Peterson has been showing up on the injury report week in and week out, but manages to suit up. Because of this, I wouldn't necessarily be worried about his health, but instead, his situation. Houston is extremely good against the run, and with their left tackle, Trent Williams, questionable for week 11, Peterson won't have any room to run. He's a middling RB3 for me because of this, despite Thompson sitting. He may see 15-20 touches, but what he does with them? I'd expect little to nothing. If you're putting him in your lineup, you're hoping for a miraculous goal line attempt that goes for 6.
JAMES CONNER - PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Conner left last week's game against the Panthers early, but he's had over a week to get right, and it looks like he's passed concussion protocol and is good to go. Against the Jags, on the road, he isn't the top 5 play we typically lean on him to be, but he tore up the Ravens on the ground and through the air, so no matter what, you're starting him. Ben is going to want to get his revenge against a team that made him question retirement, so all systems are a go for their skill position players. If I'm fading anyone, it's Ben, just because he may have a flashback and start shaking, but AB, JuJu, Conner, and even Vance McDonald deserve a spot in your lineup.
WAIVER WIRE REPLACEMENTS
THEO RIDDICK - DETROIT LIONS
MATCHUP: CAROLINA PANTHERS
Waivers are fairly dry this week, but there's always that one guy who can provide value that gets overlooked. Riddick has seen 15 targets over his past 2 games, totaling 13 receptions, and finishing as the RB22 and RB24, respectively. Now with Marvin Jones out, and facing a team that allowed 51 points a week ago, he should provide RB2 value in PPR formats. He doesn't have the ceiling other players in this range boast, like Phillip Lindsay, but his floor is unmatched, as he'll likely see upwards of 5 receptions on a depleted Lions offense.
DEEP STASHES
MALCOLM BROWN - LOS ANGELES RAMS
SPENCER WARE - KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
JAYLEN SAMUELS - PITTSBURGH STEELERS
If you're a Gurley, Hunt, or Conner owner, now is the time you snag one of their backups. Guys like Chirs Hogan don't need to be rostered at this point, and if I own one of these elite backs, I'm handcuffing them, since, if they go down during the playoffs, I wouldn't be screwed. Even if you're not the owner of Gurley/Hunt/Conner, it's not a bad idea to grab these guys, limiting your opponents' ability to find replacements off the wire.

WIDE RECEIVER

OUT
JAMISON CROWDER - WASHINGTON REDSKINS
If you think is the last Redskin you'll see in this article, you're dead wrong. I've said it before, and I'll say it again, I'M NOT TOUCHING ANYONE ON WASHINGTON. Last week, they got the Buccaneers, arguably the worst defensive team in the league, and they put up 16 points. Maurice Harris could be a back-end WR3 (ok, I lied, he's not awful) play simply because he's the only guy left, but I'm not getting my hopes up.
A.J. GREEN - CINCINATTI BENGALS
We already saw what Cincy looked without Green last week, and if you missed it, I'll fill you in...they STINK. Now, going up against one of the best defenses in the league in the Ravens, I'm not playing anyone other than Boyd and Mixon. As I said before, Mixon isn't a RB1 play this week since the Ravens haven't allowed anything to runningbacks, and Boyd won't be much more than a middling WR2.
MARVIN JONES JR. - DETROIT LIONS
With Jones out, the Lions are left with Golladay and...and...and...you know what, I don't even know another receiver on this team. Similar to the Bengals, the Lions haven't looked great since the departure of Golden Tate, and now, without Jones, who knows what'll happen. Despite this, though, they have a decent matchup against the Panthers, who let Big Ben drop 5 tuddies on them, so I don't think the weapons on Detroit are unusable. I'd actually roll Golladay out there as high-end/middling WR2 as he'll likely see around 10 targets, and as I said before, Riddick should be a high-floor RB2. As for Kerryon, he doesn't have a great matchup, but it's hard to rank him outside the top 20 at the position since he has the ability to make a big play and get 3+ receptions each week. Lastly, Stafford. I actually like him this week, as I expect the Lions to be playing from behind. Also, the Panthers have allowed 9 passing TDs over the past 2 weeks and 2 or more passing scores every week since week one. He's a back-end QB1 play, even without Tate/Jones.
JORDY NELSON - OAKLAND RAIDERS
Yuck, the Raiders. Again, as I said with the Redskins, who cares? They're left with Brandon Lafell and Seth Roberts on the outside, both of which aren't rostered in 99.999999% of leagues. You'd think this would be a great spot for Jared Cook, but they've only allowed more than 55 receiving yards to the position twice, both at the hands of George Kittle (55 and 83 yard performances). They even held Kelce to 6/46/0 last week, so he's not much more than a back end TE1, even if he gets volume. As for their backs, I actually kind of like both of them. Doug Martin hasn't been bad, and they're facing a team that allows 140 rushing yards a game. He's a back end RB2 play this week, which is where I'd also rank Jalen Richard in PPR leagues, as he's totaled 5 or more receptions in 6/9 games.
BANGED UP
SAMMY WATKINS - KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Watkins looks like a GTD for Monday night, so I'd be prepared to have a replacement set for him. If he doesn't go, like last week, this offense should still cook, especially in this potentially high-scoring affair. Hill is a top 12 play, as is Hunt, Mahomes is QB1, and Kelce tops his position as well. Watkins sitting didn't open up many opportunities for Chris Conley, so I'd avoid that front and just roll with what we know works.
KEKE COUTEE - HOUSTON TEXANS
Coutee is a GTD, similar to Watkins. The only difference, though, is that you don't need to wait until Monday night to find out if he's in. Even if he does suit up, I'm not sure he'd be anything more than a WR4. With DT and DHop set to soak up a hefty target share, there won't be much left for Keke to produce. Who this helps the most, in my opinion, is Deshaun Watson. If Keke suits up, he'll have 3 actual weapons in the passing game, and even against a solid Skins' defense, he should be a top 8 QB this week.
WAIVER WIRE REPLACEMENTS
TRE'QUAN SMITH - NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
MATCHUP: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Smith did absolutely NOTHING last week, so now, everybody's off of him. Well, he's still the WR2 in New Orleans, and facing a team who is solid against the run and can score, Brees is going to throw. According to FantasyPros, Philly is giving up nearly 27 points/game (total) to opposing receivers, and with Ronald Darby out, they can be exposed. Tre'Quan, admittedly, isn't the greatest play,  but he's more than likely on your waivers and could provide upside facing a team ready to get exposed.
MICHAEL GALLUP - DALLAS COWBOYS
MATCHUP: @ ATLANTA FALCONS
Gallup has totaled 14 targets over his past 3 games, and with Cooper in town, he doesn't need to deal with #1 corners. Even if he did, Atlanta doesn't have anyone defensively that'll put fear in your heart. Hell, they let Maurice Harris total 10/124/0 on them. In a game where Dak will likely throw 30+ times, MG will get some volume, and with his skillset, has WR3 upside. His floor is low, but his ceiling could provide value in deeper leagues if you're in need of a FLEX play.
DEEP STASHES
DONTE MONCRIEF - JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Moncrief is only in this section because he's so low owned. He isn't really a "stash" since he's proved to be valuable, but instead, is a must-pick up. He's totaled 76 or more yards in 4 of his last 6 and 54 or more in 5/6. On top of that, he's seeing volume, as there's been only been 2 games over that span where he's seen less than 5 targets. The good news, though, is he has big play potential and doesn't necessarily need 8+ targets to produce. Last week, he only saw 4 balls thrown his way, but turned that volume into 3/98/1. Since week 4, he's been on a 67/1,101/5 pace, and that's including a game where he didn't catch a single target. On top of his recent production, he also gets Tennessee, Washington, and Miami in weeks 14-16, all of which can be exploited. Grab him now, or forever hold your L's.

TIGHT END

OUT
MICHAEL ROBERTS - DETROIT LIONS
Another receiving option gone for Detroit, what a surprise. I don't expect Luke Willson to do much in Roberts' absence, as Roberts barely did anything when he was in. This addition to the injury report impacts nobody, and to be honest, I just wanted to put somebody in this spot since nobody new is sitting out this week.
BANGED UP
JORDAN REED - WASHINGTON REDSKINS
It's good to be back, Jordan. He admitted he hasn't been 100% this season due to his offseason toe surgeries, and it has surely shown. He hasn't been the top 3 tight end he has was in the past when healthy, and now, in this offense, playing under 100%, he isn't a guy you need to roster. He's playing this week, but I wouldn't trust rolling him out there, even at an extremely thin position.
WAIVER WIRE REPLACEMENTS
RICKY SEALS-JONES - ARIZONA CARDINALS
MATCHUP: OAKLAND RAIDERS
Has there been a week without RSJ listed in this section? I guess his schedule is just that good. As we all know, at the tight end position, volume is king. Seals-Jones has seen 4 or more targets in all but one game, and had 9 balls thrown his way against KC last week. Against the Raiders, he should be able to turn his 5+ targets into some sort of production, as they've allowed 4 touchdowns to the position over the last 3 weeks. RSJ seems to be just behind Fitz and DJ in the receiving game, and with his consistent volume, paired with the beautiful matchup, he could provide high end TE2 value.
DEEP STASHES
JAYLEN SAMUELS - PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Samuel was listed in the "deep stashes" section for runningbacks, and the sneaky thing is, he is tight end eligible in Yahoo leagues. If Conner ever goes down, Samuels would not only be a top 12 runningback in this offense, but would likely be a top 5 tight end. Most tight ends don't see 5 targets a game, and currently, James Conner is commanding nearly 22.5 touches a game, 4.3 of which are receptions on 5.7 targets. Even if he gets 80% of Conner's work, he'd still be a viable tight end play, and if you already have a tight end like Kittle/Kelce/Ertz/ect. you can roll him out at RB.
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