Fantasy Football Week 4 - Top Waiver Wire Adds

by Nick Ercolano September 26, 2017

Fantasy Football Week 4 - Top Waiver Wire Adds

Every Tuesday afternoon I'll send this sheet out to the interwebs, highlighting this week's top waiver wire pick-ups.
Criteria to Make this List:
  • All players must be owned in less than 50% of Yahoo Leagues.
  • FAAB is based on $100 budget. Y'all can do the simple math if your league isn't $100...
  • Is this FA Worthy of your top waiver wire claim?​

Sorry for any typos, I'v g0t no tyme to proophread.

Quarterbacks

 
Player
% Owned (Yahoo)
Notes
FAAB
Worth #1 WW?
Next 4 Opponents
Jay Cutler (MIA)
28%
  • Cutler and the Dolphins were the opposite of good against the Jets in Week 3, but they get a New Orleans defense that was shredded by Tom Brady and Sam Bradford.
  • Cam struggled to put up numbers vs. NO in Week 3 but that's not saying much considering the Panthers are looking like one of the worst offenses in the NFL following Greg Olsen and Kelvin Benjamin's injury.
  • They'll be in the dome where players fly around and this game has the 2nd highest point total (49) in Vegas for Week 3. 
$2
No
NO, TEN, @ATL, NYJ
Andy Dalton (CIN) 45%
  • With Bill Lazor taking over as the OC in Cincy, Dalton was able to get this offense back on track throwing his first two passing TDs of the season to Green and Gio.
  • I think Dalton is far from washed and will be fine at Cleveland in Week 4 who's surrendered at least 20 standard points to all three QBs they've faced in 2017 which included Joe Flacco and Jacoby Brissett.
  • Dalton's ceiling is likely limited with a bad o-line, an injured Eifert and a quick-hitting style of offense, but he's a safe bet for 200 yards and another 2 touchdowns in Week 4.
$2 No @CLV, BUF, BYE, @PIT
Tyrod Taylor (BUF) 41%
  • Taylor struggled in Week 2 at Carolina, but he'll look to redeem himself in another road NFC South game versus the 3-0 Falcons.
  • In his other two games, Taylor finished with 26.5 (NYJ) and 24.45 (DEN) fantasy points which is a type of ceiling/upside you can expect from the mobile QB.
  • Tyrod's been making the most of what he can in an offense with limited talent. He has the 3rd highest completion percentage in the NFL (74.6%) and is 2nd in QB rushing yards (106) through 3 games.
  • As usual, he gives you a weekly floor of 30-40 rushing yards and should be asked to throw the ball a ton in their Week 4 game in Atlanta. The Bills are 9 points dogs in what's expected to be a high scoring game.
$2 No @ATL, @CIN, BYE, TB

Running Backs

Player
% Owned (Yahoo)
Notes
FAAB
Worth #1 WW?
Next 4 Opponents
Wendell Smallwood (PHI)
6%
  • With Darren Sproles on I.R., someone has to get fed in Philly's backfield as they rank 13th in rush attempts on the season (80).
  • It's almost a poor man's Patriots backfield, where it may be game script dependent, but even at that, there should be plenty of dud games between Smallwood and Blount.
  • Smallwood played in 21 more snaps than Blount did in Week 3, but both saw 12 carries, probably a similar timeshare we could rely on going forward.
  • Smallwood is the preferred PPR back, while Blount will get the goal-line carries.
  • Neither are more than a flex play, but if I had to choose one PHI RB for ROS, I'd lean Smallwood, because he'll probably see a lot of the work Sproles would have and this offense passes the ball a ton (4th in the NFL in pass attempts through 3 games).
$8-10
No
@LAC, ARZ, @CAR, WAS
Alex Collins (BAL)
2%
  • Collins isn't a guy I'm targeting in 10 or 12-team leagues, yet. But I have my eye on him in deeper leagues.
  • He's blown Buck Allen out of the water in efficiency so far this season and actually led the team with 9 carries in Week 3. He'll probably slide behind West in the pecking order when he's fully healthy, but it'll be hard for Harbaugh to ignore Collins' 7.8 yards per carry (16 carries) in an offense that's in desperate need of playmakers.
$1-2
No
PIT, @OAK, CHI, @MIN
Jamaal Charles (DEN)
33%
  • Charles out-carried C.J. Anderson in Week 3 9-8 and out-produced him 57-43 on the same number of touches (10). 
  • JC has exactly 10 touches in all 3 games and while CJ looks like the clear workhorse, JC has been very efficient in his limited work, leeading the team in ypc (5.1), yac (3.9) and tackles avoided/attempt (0.32). Respectively, he ranks 7th, 3rd and 2nd in those categories amongst all RBs in the NFL with more than 15 carries.
  • The Broncos are probably loving the timeshare they have and the efficiency they're getting from the future HOFer, but if CJ were to go down, JC would have a chance to prove if he had those HOF legs still under him as the workhorse in DEN. De'Angelo Henderson and Andy Janovich are the only other backs on Denver's roster with a single carry, and they both have just that, 1 carry.
$4-8
No
OAK, BYE, NYG, @LAC
D'onta Foreman (HOU)
17%
  • Lamar Miller dominated snaps in Houston's backfield, but the rookie out-gained the starter 90-63 on five less touches.
  • It's the second week in a row Foreman has double-digit touches and he's looked surprisingly good in the receiving game.
  • We also don't know who controls the goal-line carries as the Texans don't seem to want to get close to the endzone. There's not a lot of scoring upside here, but if Miller were to get hurt, Foreman is an instant 20-touch RB moving forward.
$4-6
No
@NE, TEN, KC, CLV

Wide Receivers

Player
% Owned (Yahoo
Notes
FAAB
Worth #1 WW?
Next 4 Opponents
Geronimo Allison (GB)
9%
  • With Randall Cobb sidelinef for the Packers Week 3 game versus Cincy, Allison operated as the WR3, but performed even better, catching 6-of-8 targets for 122 yards and just barely missed out on a touchdown in overtime.
  • Allison is basically irrelevant if Cobb is healthy, but they're on a very short week playing on Thursday Night Football against the Bears and the corn man didn't practice at all last week, so he might not be close to returning for Week 4. 
  • If Cobb is out again, I'd be more than happy to throw Allison in as my WR3/flex for Week 4. He had more targets (8-6), catches (6-3) and yards (122-60) than Davante Adams. His 14.1 aDOT suggest Rodgers isn't afraid to sling the ball deep to him.
$2-4
No
@CHI, DAL, MIN, NO
Allen Hurns/Marqise Lee (JAX)
38%/47%
  • I'm not sure how many more weeks I'll have to put these two names on this list for, but people need to realize you don't have to be good to be a good fantasy WR.
  • As I've mentioned each of the previous few weeks, Hurns is preferred in standard and 0.5 ppr because of his scoring upside which he's proven after scoring in each of the Jags previous two games.
  • Lee's PPR floor is great as well. He's seen 19 targets in the previous two games since Robinson tore his ACL, and has scored at least 10.5 PPR points in each of the two games.
  • They get nice matchups in 3 of their next 4 games (PIT is nice in pass d).
$5-10 each
No
@NYJ, @PIT, LAR, @IND
Josh Doctson (WAS)
6%
  • It looks like the hype train wheels have completely fallen off the tracks for Terelle Pryor and Jamison Crowder. In a game without Jordan Reed and where Kirk Cousins threw for 365 yards and 3 tuddys, neither of them finished inside the positions top-40 at WR (and MNF is still left to be played as of this writing).
  • Doctson on the other hand, might be a spark on the outside Cousins needs.
  • Washington's 2016 first round pick Doctson, has seen his snap % rise in each of the first three weeks of the season. He was on the field for 37% of the team's snaps in Week 1, 39% in Week 2 and 49.2% on Sunday night.
  • He reeled in a 52-yard touchdown on SNF, but admittedly, the ball actually went right through his hands and luckily the CB's hands were right underneath to save the ball from dropping and Doctson scooped it from there.
  • Doctson's not really someone I'm going after on the wire this week, but he's someone who's playing time I'll be keeping an eye on as the weeks go by. He probably wouldn't have made this list if Cousins' hailmary slipped through his hands like it should have.
$1
No
@KC, BYE, SF, @PHI
Paul Richardson (SEA)
11%
  • Richardson's sitting at fantasy WR34 through three games, but has been consistently above average in each game, yet to finish under 7.9 (0.5 PPR) fantasy points.
  • P-Rich has touchdowns in back-to-back games and just missed having a much bigger day in Week 3 on a few passes from Russell Wilson.
  • Doug Baldwin injured his groin in Seattle's Week 3 game, but it isn't supposed to be serious. If Baldwin does, however, miss their Week 4 tilt w/ Indy, P-Rich would be a borderline WR2. He's second on the team in receiving yards and has just one less target than Jimmy Graham (20).
  • As the primary deep threat (13.5 aDOT) on Seattle, bigger games are coming.
  • I expect this offense to incrementally improve as the season pushes forward and even if Baldwin is healthy, Richardson is a steady low-end WR3/WR4/flex with upside.
$5-7
No
@IND, @LAR, BYE, @NYG
Bruce Ellington (HOU)
49%
  • Let's face it, D-Hop's getting double-tripled teamed like some Redtube shit every play. Deshaun Watson needs somewhere to throw the ball, and for rookie QBs, short and over the middle is usually that sweet spot.
  • Ellington has an interesting backstory. He was all over sleeper lists entering 2016 before tearing his hamstring and missing San Fran's entire 2016 szn. This offseason, he was waived by the 49ers, claimed by the Jets, cut by the Jets than signed by the 49ers, before finally being picked up by the Texans.
  • Ellington was a favorite of Reception Perception's Matt Harmon and played like it this preseason and defied the odds by making their roster.
  • A concussion in Week 1 cost him until Week 3, where he got back in the lineup and caught 4-of-7 targets and a touchdown.
  • Ellington is definitely a long-shot and he's a name for deeper leagues, but it's possible BE finished with the 2nd most targets ROS behind Hopkins.
  • He ranked in the 93rd percentile for SPARQ score and has strong measurables and technical skills, but it's very likely Ellington winds up being a name to forget and I just wasted 12 minutes writing all of this. 
$5-8
No
DET, @PHI, @TB, LAC
Kenny Britt (CLV)
44%
  • Ok, so turns out that the QB in Cleveland does make more of a difference than I expected in terms of which WR to own. I was all aboard the Rashard Higgins train, but didn't take into as much consideration that his Week 2 breakout was heavily based on Kevin Hogan being under center.
  • Fast forward past a "heart-to-heart" w/ Hue Jackson, Rotowold calling him Dwayne Bowe in 50 seperate blurbs and Kizer leaving his migraines in the past, and you have Kenny Britt back as the leading WR for the Browns. Everyone and their mother's dog's sisters wife dropped Britt after Week 2 only to see him rack up 10 targets in Week 3.
  • Britt was far from good in their loss to Indianapolis, catching only 3 of the targets, but he turned those into 54 yards and a score.
  • The volume is what we're looking at here. With Corey Coleman out indefinitely, Britt should continue to see a a minimum 6+ targets a week going forward. What he does with those targets is anyones guess.
$5-7
No
CIN, NYJ, @HOU, TEN
Devin Funchess (CAR)
20%
  • Stop me if you've heard this before - "Devin Funchess is now thrust into a role where opportunity is a given." Unfortunately for the Panthers this is reality.
  • They lost Greg Olsen to a broken foot last week and Kelvin Benjamin's shit snapped back into a V shape, so it looks like KB will miss at least Week 4. There's not structural damage to KB's knee, so for right now he's questionable for Week 4. And after letting go of Ted Ginn this offseason, Funchess is the pretty much their only big, outside target.
  • We have a 33-game sample size from Funchess' career, 17 games played w/ KB, and 16 w/o. Here's how the numbers breakdown (W/ KB: W/o KB)
  • 1.9 RECs : 1.94
  • 0.24 TDs : 0.31
  • 4.5 TGTs : 3.94
  • 30.4 YDs : 29.6
  • Basically there's no difference, with or without KB. What we don't have is a split without both KB and Olsen so it's possible Funchess does really turn into a target hog.
  • However, Cam and this offense are struggling right now, and as long as KB is out, Funchess becomes nothing more than a WR3/Flex at best. I'd project 50-70 yards and a 35-40% of a touchdown. It's usable, but not great.
$2-3 No @NE, @DET, PHI, @CHI

Tight End

Player
% Owned (Yahoo)
Notes
FAAB
Worth #1 WW?
Next 4 Opponents
Benjamin Watson (BAL)
32%
  • Watson caught all 8 of his targets for 91 yards and played in 74% of the teams snaps in Week 2.
  • Week 3 in London versus the league's best pass defense was a different story, but Watson save fantasy owners with a late TD, reeling in all 3 of his targets for an additional 12 yards. 
  • The Ravens are a bad offense, but Watson is a steady part of it. I don't even know if that's a good thing tbh. Watson's played on 66% of their snaps over the last two weeks, while Nick Boyle is sitting at 61%, but Watson has out-targeted Boyle 11-3 in that span.
  • With the loss of Marshal Yanda, this offense is going to need to rely on short passes and dumpoffs which works in Watson's favor. He's not a bad PPR play and should be a top 12-15 TE for the rest of season. He finished as PPR TE4 in Week 2 and TE12 in Week 3. 
  • PIT is good against TEs so I wouldn't bank on another top-12 play this week but OAK and CHI should be a different story.
$3-5
No
@PIT, OAK, @CHI, MIN
Vernon Davis (WAS)
8%
  • With Jordan Reed inactive for the SNF, Davis was thrust into a starter's role, playing 78% of the Redskins snaps. He reeled in all 5 of his targets for 58 yards and a score.
  • He won't get many matchups as friendly as the Raiders, and he's likely only useful for next week's game against KC, because they have a bye the week after and that would give Reed three full weeks to get as healthy as possible. There's no word on Reed's status for Week 4, but he's definitely less than 100% even if he does play.
  • They get another primetime game in Week 4 and Cousins has absolutely dominated in primetime games averaging nearly 370 passing yards per game over the last 2 seasons in the them (6 games).
  • Their matchup at Arrowhead isn't exactly an inviting one, but without Eric Berry on the opponent's TE, it's not one to avoid either.
  • At 49.5, the Redskins are again (tied) the highest Vegas point total for the second consecutive week.
  • If you're in a deep league, or have a big bench, rostering Davis isn't a terrible idea give Reed's injury history.
$2-4
No
@KC, BYE, SF, @PHI
Jared Cook (OAK)
40%
  • Cook might have been the easiest DFS call of Week 3, going against a Washington defense that's mediocre at best versus TEs and an over/under of 54. Cooks delivered, catching 4-of-6 targets for 43 yards and a tuddy.
  • He's now seen at least 5 targets in all 3 games this season for the Raiders and is a stable piece for Derek Carr and this offense.
  • Cook goes up against a normally stingy Denver defense, but they allowed a 10-97-1 line to grandpa Witten in Week 2 and a 7-70-1 line to Buffalo TEs in Week 3. Following Denver, Cook gets a Baltimore defense that just allowed three tuddys to someone named Marcedes Lewis.
$2-5 No @DEN, BAL, LAC, KC

Other Random Notes (+ Guys owned in more than 50% of Yahoo Leagues but are still sorta available)

  • Now is probably the time to grab Andrew Luck (75% owned) IF you have room. He's eyeing a return to practice this week, which may or may not happen, but Week 6 versus division rival Tennessee is his return goal. He's not a must add right now, and he might struggle his first game back, then gets a Week 7 matchup with Jacksonville, the stingiest pass defense in the league through 3 weeks.
  • Duke Johnson's owned in just 53% of leagues but he's looking like the RB to own in Cleveland at this point, out-producing Crowell on the seasons despite seeing less than half the amount of touches.
  • Melvin Gordon says he's fine, but Brandin Oliver (2% owned) is the handcuff for LAC if you're interested.
  • Andre Ellington (7% owned) is the PPR back to own in ARZ. If Palmer can keep this type of play up, Ellington could be a solid 4-5 catch floor player in PPR leagues on a team that's desperately in need of playmakers on offense. 
  • Mike Tolbert (4% owned) has double digit carries in 2-of-3 games and is sure to vulture a few TDs from Shady. He's the clear handcuff in an offense that loves to feed its RBs.
  • Willie Snead is owned in 75% of Yahoo leagues as he makes his return from suspension in Week 4 at Miami. Brees has used Ginn slightly so far, but I'd imagine he's dying for another possession WR on the outside.
  • Best Defenses to stream in Week 4
  1. Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Jets (45% Owned)
  2. Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns (21% Owned)
  3. Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings (10% Owned)


    Nick Ercolano
    Nick Ercolano

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