Fantasy Football Week 13 - Top Waiver Wire Adds

by Nick Ercolano November 28, 2017

Fantasy Football Week 13 - Top Waiver Wire Adds

Every Tuesday afternoon I'll send this sheet out to the interwebs, highlighting this week's top waiver wire pick-ups.
Criteria to Make this List:
  • All players must be owned in less than 50% of Yahoo Leagues.
  • FAAB is based on $100 budget. Y'all can do the simple math if your league isn't $100... The first bullet for each player is how much I would recommend spending on your league.
  • Is this FA Worthy of your top waiver wire claim?​ The second bullet is whether or not I would recommend spending your #1 WW claim on this player.

Sorry for any typos, I'v g0t no tyme to proophread.

Quarterbacks

    Josh McCown (31% Owned) - Jets

    • $1-3
    • I would NOT use #1 claim.
    • True story - I'm writing this piece on Sunday (2-3 hours after the Jets game finished), I'm in California right now and I was at a bar watching the Jets game, no fucking clue why there would be a gosh damn Jets fan all the way out here but there was. He was wearing a ridiculous turtleneck with a Jets logo on the neck part of it. This guy is going nuts, clapping and screaming when the Jets scored, which I have no problem with but every time he clapped it was like 4-5 claps too many, you know that feeling when you're like, in your head "alright he's gonna stop now" *claps once more* "alright this gotta be the last one" *claps again* "yo if this isn't the last one we're throwing hands" *claps 4-6 more times* - anyways, it was that kind of guy. Anywho, on that 2nd TD pass McCowgawd threw to Spaghetti Anderson, the guy went ballistic screaming "WOW LOOK AT NAMATH LOOK AT NAMATH" he's comparing josh fucking mcCOWn to Joe Namath. Anyway, and ironically, this guy was more wasted than Joe Namath at the time and by the time the Jets predictably collapsed in the 2nd half, he was no where to be found cause you best believe I wanted to clap 6-7 times too many when McCown got strip sacked and Luke Keeks took it byke to the crib. 
    • Anywho, I'm not here to yell about McCown being the second coming of Namath or nothing, but I'm here to tell you I'm not gonna be mad if you stream him in Week 13. After lighting up Carolina for 307 yards and a trio of tuddys, the Jets QB gets a much easier matchup versus a Kansas City defense who've allowed the 12th most FPs to QBs in 2017. Carolina was allowing just 197 passing yards and the 7th fewest FPs to the position prior to facing off with McCown.
    • McCown's played his best ball at home this season as well, averaging 255 passing yards with a 9:3 TD:INT ratio and right around 17.2 fantasy points per, which you'll take 13/10 times as a streamer.
    • Spaghetti Anderson is solidifying himself a legitimate NFL playmaker and WR1 for New York and they'll look to lean his way at home in Week 13.

    Tyrod Taylor (49% Owned) - Bills

    • $3-5
    • I would NOT use #1 claim.
    • Tygawd is officially back under center following Bills HC Sean McDermott's top-5 "dumbest shit I've ever seen" (this is a list) - starting Peterman in Week 11.
    • We know what we're getting from Tyrod - he'll give you between 170-225 passing yards with a touchdown, two on a good day plus 20-45 rushing yards and rush TD on a really good day. But he's on this list because his schedule is juicy like big poppa for the rest of the szn and I expect him to end up on the "good day" side of that spectrum in most of the games. The Bills and Taylor get three straight home games leading up to your fantasy championship in Week 16 at Foxborough. 
    • In Week 13 Buffalo also faces the Pats, but at the Ralph not on the road. Then he'll get Indy and Miami. All 3 have let up their (generous) fair share of fantasy points to QBs in 2017.
    • In Taylor's four home games in 2017, he's averaging 218 passing yards, a 6:1 TD:INT ratio, with 7 rushing attempts and over 26 rushing yards/game. Taylor should be a top-12 play over the next three, if not four weeks.

    - You can go and pick up Teddy Bridgewater or Jimmy G if you're desperate, but there's no telling if either will even suit up in Week 13.

            Running Backs

              Jonathan Stewart (38% Owned) - Panthers

              • $4-7
              • I would NOT use #1 claim. (#1 overall pickup this week)
              • You may wanna grab some food and throw it in your chewer because this'll be the most flavorless pick up of the week.
              • Stewart's been mediocre at best this season, but it's no secret the Panthers don't trust Cmac to carry a featured load, at least not from the backfield. Stewart has double digit carries in five straight games averaging nearly 14 per over that span and has either gone over 110 rushing yards or found paydirt in 3-of-4 following their Week 12 dub over the Jets. Stewart out-touched his counterpart 15-9 in the game which is worth noting.
              • Stewart will get a plus matchup against an overrated Saints defense in Week 13, in which he's a good bet for 12-15 touches and a goal line carry or two.

              Devontae Booker (34% Owned) - Broncos

              • $7-12
              • I would NOT use #1 claim.
              • Reports out of Broncos camp have been on the side of getting Booker more and more involved in the game plan, and they've been correct.
              • Booker didn't do much on Sunday, gaining 11 yards on 6 carries and another 22 yards on two receptions as the Broncos but both the carries and touches led the backfield. He also would've had a much bigger day had he not been called down at the 1-yard line on a touchdown catch, followed by a Paxton Lynch interception on the next play....
              • Jamaal Charles has become irrelevant since Booker's emergence and it's a total time share with C.J. at this point for Booker. Booker out-snapped Anderson 49-28 on Sunday.
              • It's no secret that the Broncos are trash right now. Meaning they're playing from behind a lot. Booker has come to be the preferred pass-catching back which, in my humble ass opinion, makes him the back to own in Denver's backfield.
              • The Broncos get a nice set of games over their next few weeks against Miami, NYJ and then Indy before finishing the fantasy szn off at Washington. Booker's a viable flex play in all three of their next games with upside in PPR leagues.

              Rod Smith (14% Owned) - Cowboys

              • $1-3
              • I would NOT use #1 claim.
              • Since Zeke's sspn began in Week 10, Rod Smith's played on 56% of the Cowboys' offense snaps, compared to just 36% for Alf. Mainly because the Cowboys and Dak have been straight cheeks since their all-pro running backs departure but it's safe to say that Alf isn't clearly the fantasy back to own here.
              • Smith is the only back on the roster with more than a single target since Week 10, he's caught 6-of-7 for 22 yards, but he got the lone goal-line carry on Sunday which he took in for a score.
              • Over their next three games, the Cowboys play at home versus Washington then travel to NYG and OAK. All three teams are beatable on the ground and are allowing around 6 receptions a week to the RB position, most of those should be Smiths.

              - Other guys available in more than 50% of leagues, but you should grab if you can in yours: Alex Collins (71%), Frank Gore (69%), Jamaal Williams (59%), Kenyan Drake (56%), Danny Woodhead (53%) and Rex Burkhead (51%). Would gladly use my #1 WW on any of these backs outside of Woodhead.

                    Wide Receivers

                      Corey Coleman (40% Owned) - Browns

                      • $8-12
                      • I would NOT use #1 claim.
                      • Since Coleman's return last week from his long time hiatus, Coleman has seen a team-high 16 targets, which is more than every WR on Cleveland combined in that two week span. He's been able to catch 9-of-16 targets for 144 yards but hasn't found paydirt.
                      • It's a tricky situation given Josh Gordon's impending return in Week 13. Gordon was so electrifying as an athlete during his short NFL stint a few years back, you wouldn't be surprised if he came in and ripped that WR1 handle right from Coleman next week. However, the man hasn't played in like 841 days (not accurate whatsoever, need a fact check), so we'll have to wait and see how effective the former all-pro WR can be.
                      • Coleman was an electrifying talent in his own right coming out of Baylor and we're starting to see some of that first round hype come to fruition, but this pass offense is barely strong enough to provide the fantasy goblins (us) with a single relevant receiving option.
                      • The Browns travel to LA to take on a tough, but not unbeatable Chargers secondary led by shutdown CB Casey Hayward. LA is allowing the 14th most FPs to WR position on the year, but they haven't allowed a receiving score in any of the last three weeks and Odell is the only WR on the szn to surpass 85 receiving yards in a game. According to Football Outsiders, the Chargers DVOA versus WRs rank 10th against WR1s and 1st overall against WR2s. It's not a pretty matchup for the sophomore wideout, but I've also now said that each of the previous two weeks versus JAX and CIN and he's proved me wrong twice.
                      • Gordon's return is a slight downgrade to Coleman obviously, but I'd still keep him in the WR3 conversation, until we know what Flash has in store for us. If something were to happen to Gordon that keeps him from seeing the field, Coleman will be a low-end WR2 with upside for the rest of the szn.

                      Josh Doctson (43% Owned) - Redskins

                      • $8-12
                      • I would NOT use #1 claim.
                      • The ceiling is yet to come to fruition for the Skins Jordan dunking in the last scene of Space Jam arms having looking WR, but the floor is creeping up. He's been peppered with endzone targets every week. Most of the times that wind up as missed connections, but he managed to score on Thanksgiving while catching 2-of-4 targets for 28 yards. He's faced off against a real tough slate CBs in recent weeks but he'll finally get a plus matchup against the Cowboys in Week 13. The Boys have definitely improved on the defensive side of the ball pass wise this year but I expect the Skins to put a number on em.
                      • Jamison Crowder is beginning to blow up like a lot of imagined in the preszn which puts a damper on Doctson's volume upside, but he's still clearly the preferred wideout in goal line situations which is more than useful in an offense who's averaging 27 points over their last three games. 
                      • The rest of the way is tough, with LAC, ARZ and DEN on the horizon following the Boys. I already touched in my Corey C. section on the Chargers but Arizona can be hustled, they're allowing the 7th most ppg this szn (25.3), Denver a spot above them (25.5). 
                      • Doctson will likely be nothing more than a WR3/flex option going forward because of the schedule but you could definitely do worse than someone with so much touchdown potential.

                        Marquise Goodwin (15% Owned) - 49ers

                        • $3-5
                        • I would NOT use #1 claim.
                        • It's funny, Goodwin was on this list last week too, and was owned in 15% of Yahoo leagues at this time. Seems no one read my sheet, can't say I'm surprised.
                        • Goodwin's become the WR1 on SF by default following Garcon's szn ending injury a few weeks byke and he's been solid in those three games. He paces the wideout group with 15 targets, 7 catches, 229 yards and a score. Thanks to an 80-yard bomb against the G-Men his YPR is hovering at a ridiculous 32.7. That's not possible to keep up obviously, but it speaks on the type of player Goodwin is, with sub 4.3 speed, CBs get burnt by the man regularly.
                        • Goodwin put up another good game on Sunday, grabbing 4-of-6 targets for 78 yards, once again leading the 49er WRs in all three categories. 
                        • My only hesitation now is that Beathard left the game late on Sunday with a knee injury which led to Jimmy G coming in to finish off the game and looking good doing so. Goodwin and Beathard had at least a resemblanec of a connection on the offensive side of the ball, I'm not sure we'll see that again with Garrap, who being from the Patriots offense is definitely a much smarter type of quarterback and less likely to take chances/deep shots to the speedster Goodwin. We don't know who's getting the nod at QB or the extent of Beathard's injury but I have a feeling we're going to see Shanahan call on Jimmy in Week 13.
                        • The 49ers get a slate of plus passing matchups @CHI in Week 13 before traveling to Houston against a gross pass d. I'd give a cosign to anyone willing to throw Goodwin in at flex in these spots.

                        Dede Westrbook (37% Owned) - Dolphins

                        • $2-4
                        • I would NOT use #1 claim.
                        • Westbrook led the Jags team with 10 targets on Sunday, catching 6 of them for 41 yards. A lot of that probably had to do with their real WR1, Marqise Lee, dealing with Patrick Peterson shadow coverage all afternoon, but Westbrook's now seen 16 targets over their last two games. Another red flag, however, Allen Hurns, has been sidelined for both of them. We don't have an update on Hurns' ankle this early in the week, but seeing as he didn't practice at all for Week 12, it suggests he's still a ways away from suiting up. 
                        • Here's a snapshot of Dede for those of y'all that know little-to-nothing about the all-preszn award winner:
                        • Nothing jumps off the page. In fact, it's the opposite, his measurables tested out really poorly but we've seen success plenty of times by players with similar results. Either way, worth noting.
                        • Westbrook isn't going to be a league-winner by any stretch, but he's looking like a decent PPR floor play to snag you a quick 8-10 points. 
                        • The Jags get a great matchup in Week 13 at home versus Indy who have given up the 7th most fantasy points to WRs on the szn. They've been slammed by WRs with similar statures/from the slot guys like (fake) Westrbook this year: Kupp (4-76-1), J.J. Nelson (5-120-1), Tyler Lockett (4-67), Marquise Goodwin (5-116), Garcon (8-94), Taywan Taylor (2-61-1), Hurns (5-101), JuJu (5-97-1). The most notable being Hurns' 5-101, who Westbrook is running route for while injured.
                        • Westbook is more of a flier, but he's a flex/WR4 in ppr for Week 13.

                        Dontrelle Inman (9% Owned) - Bears

                        • $2-4
                        • I would NOT use #1 claim.
                        • In an absolute blockbuster of a deal, the LA Chargers sent Dontrelle Inman over to the Bears for a 7th round pick. 
                        • Since Inman's arrival, he's become the clear WR1 for Mitch Trubisky, for whatever that's worth. In that three game span, he leads all CHI WRs in targets (22), receptions (13) and his 195 receiving yards is 18 more than all other Bears wide receivers combined in that span.
                        • I won't lie, Inman took me by complete surprise, but he won't when he has a blessed game at home versus the 49ers, one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. Inman is a solid mix of size (6-3, 205), speed (4.52) and tested out in the 86th percentile or better in both agility score and catch radius.
                        • After starting his career throwing the ball just 48 times in his first three games, Trubisky's leash has been greatly extended, throwing the ball 30+ times in four straight games. I mean, they have lost all four of those games lol, but fantasy stats come in all shapes and sizes, and win percentages.  
                        • Inman will be sneaky flex play in Week 13 versus the 49ers.

                        Seth Roberts/Cordarrelle Patterson (0% Owned) - Raiders

                        • $0-3
                        • I would NOT use #1 claim.
                        • This is simple as opportunity. With Crabtree suspended for two games after getting his chain snatched double time, and Cooper nursing both a concussion and a minor ankle tweak, Seth Roberts might become the defacto WR1 for the next week or so. Roberts has the third most targets (39), receptions (24) and yards (262) of the Oakland wideouts.
                        • Roberts isn't a talent by any means, as he's failed to score since Week 1 or hit 50 receiving yards in a single game but he'll be a full-time player if both guys miss the Raiders Week 13 game against a flawed NYG pass d who will be without Janoris Jenkins.
                        • That being said, Cordarrelle Patterson has about as good of a shot of Roberts to make a fantasy impact in Week 13. Roberts has played in nearly 80% of the team's snaps this year, Patterson just 41%.
                        • Pick your poison. 

                        - Other guys available in more than 50% of leagues, but you should grab if you can in yours: Martavis Bryant (54%), Ted Ginn (79%), Cooper Kupp (59%).

                        Tight Ends

                            Tyler Kroft (47% Owned) - Bengals

                            • $2-5
                            • I would NOT use my #1 claim.
                            • I'll be honest, I really don't feel like writing this for Kroft again, he's been on this for like 9 straight weeks. On Sunday he scored again. He simply gets it done as a fill-in fantasy TE. His yardage floor is so low, but he's either scoring or producing every week. He'll be closer to the 12-14 ranks going forward with a tough slate of games coming up versus PIT, CHI, @MIN, DET who all rank highly at covering TEs.

                            Charles Clay (32% Owned) - Bills

                            • $1-4
                            • I would NOT use my #1 claim.
                            • Clay flashed some of that big-play ability on Sunday which made him a top-5 fantasy TE over the first month of the season, grabbing all 4 of his targets for 60 yards including a 33-yard snag later in the game. With Taylor back under center, and unsure of Kelvin Benjamin's injury, Clay could continue to see backend TE1 usage down the stretch. The Bills have a fantastic schedule for their offense (NE, IND, MIA), all at home and TE friendly.
                            • It wouldn't surprise me at all to see Clay finish inside the position's top-8 over that stretch.

                            Ricky Seals-Jones (2% Owned) - Cardinals

                            • $2-5
                            • I would NOT use my #1 claim.
                            • Fool me once....
                            • My college friends and I joked about RSJ for the longest time, I don't even remember why. I think we saw him play in the High School All American game. Not only did he have one of the swaggiest names ever hatched, but this dude was a MONSTER in high school. He was one of the top HS recruits in the country, playing wideout. The raw athleticism and skill was off the charts. He went onto sign with Texas A&M, and tbh I don't even know what went wrong or why he never panned out, but anytime we saw his name on SportsCenter, legitimately for the last five years, someone would have something funny to say.
                            • Jokes on y'all now. RSJ is just 22 years old. And it looks like that talent is still there, only now he's displaying it as a tight end for the Arizona Cardinals.
                            • Having not registered a single statistic over the first 10 weeks of the 2017 season, RSJ has been fantasy's TE1 over the last two weeks, grabbing 7 passes for 126 yards and scoring three times. He's quickly becoming one of Blaine magic man Gabbert's favorite targets, especially when we're seeing Fitz get bottled up by that Jags defense.
                            • The craziest part about his numbers --- he played in 13% of the teams snaps in Week 11 (3-52-2) and 24% on Sunday (4-72-1)... Look for RSJ to get more and more involved as he keeps making more plays. 
                            • He might not be a great start against the Rams or Titans in Weeks 13 & 14, but if he can keep upping his game, he gets a beautiful fantasy playoff slate versus two NFC East teams, the Skins and Giants, giving up the 4th and most fantasy points to the TE position in 2017, respectively.

                              Defense

                                 Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns (34% Owned)

                                • $1-4
                                • I would NOT use #1 claim.
                                • The Chargers could single handedly win people Week 13... They are dominating on the defensive side of the ball while the Browns are the opposite, allowing the single most FPs to defenses.
                                • The Chargers led by Casey Haywards all-world play have 9 interceptions over their last three games, averaging 18 fantasy points/per over that span. The Browns are basically averaging 3 turnovers a game on the szn and a touchdown every other game. Luckily for LA, Cincy didn't take home a pick six in Week 12!
                                • The Chargers will likely be the top defensive play in Week 13.

                                 



                                    Nick Ercolano
                                    Nick Ercolano

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